Evidence-Based Forest News

Billion Trees, Bottlenecks & the €150 Carbon Gamble

Big forest moves—from Algeria to the EU—reveal who’s funding what, and why not every tree planted equals climate progress.

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Our weekly roundup of reforestation finance.

Algeria's $1 Billion Tree Plan: Green Ambition or Green PR?

Algeria is going big on green—really big. The North African nation just rolled out a ten-year, $1 billion initiative to plant 420 million trees, funded and spearheaded by its state-owned oil giant, Sonatrach. Yes, the same Sonatrach that's historically fueled Algeria's fossil-heavy economy. The reforestation drive is part of a broader sustainability push that includes lofty goals: upping renewables to 30% of the energy mix by 2035, rolling out green hydrogen projects, and attracting European climate partnerships.

💬 With fossil fuel revenue funding the forest and outside backers like the EU cheering from the sidelines, how do we assess the credibility of this mega-scale green pivot?

👉 Read the full story via Maghreb Insider

Europe’s Carbon Credit Crunch: Are Forest Offsets the New Crypto?

Despite surging demand for forest-based carbon credits in Europe, supply remains tight and prices are climbing fast. A new report from Arbonics says buyers now care more about quality, transparency, and impact than sheer volume—but with only 65,041 of 2024's 13.4 million Verra AFOLU credits coming from Europe, high-integrity options are scarce. Companies must invest early (think years in advance), and afforestation takes time to deliver measurable results. Prices currently range from $20 to $70 per ton and could soar to $150 by 2035. For now, trust remains the hot commodity—one misstep and your Chief Sustainability Officer is front-page news.

💬 With buyers demanding local impact and regulators tightening scrutiny, can Europe scale up trustworthy carbon credits fast enough—or will demand price out integrity?

👉👉 Read the full story via AgFunder News

Climate Cash Could Do More—If We Let It

If you’re wondering why climate finance sometimes feels like it’s doing yoga in a straightjacket, Nature Communications just delivered a helpful explainer. A new study finds that regions holding 70% of global forest carbon could hit their climate targets at carbon prices under $100/ton. But here’s the kicker: if we coordinated globally, we could double the emissions reductions for the same investment—just by focusing funding where it’s cheapest and most effective. Sub-Saharan Africa, South America, and China? Bargain bins for high-impact forest mitigation. Meanwhile, high-income nations might want to rethink their “go-it-alone” strategy.

💬 If we know where the biggest bang-for-buck carbon savings lie, why aren’t we funding smarter and faster?

👉👉 Read the full study via Nature Communications

Brazil Bets on Carbon: Pará's Bold Forest Concession Just Landed

The state of Pará just went full eco-capitalist—with a twist. Partnering with startup Systemica, the government signed Brazil’s first-ever public land reforestation concession, greenlit for a 40-year run in the Triunfo do Xingu region. What’s on the docket? Restoration of 10,300 hectares of forest, the sequestering of a whopping 3.7 million tons of CO₂ (hello, carbon credits!), and the creation of 2,000 jobs from a R$ 258 million in investment.

The buzz is international too. Impact Earth calls it a potential blueprint for carbon-backed regeneration across Brazil. And with Pará prepping for COP30, it’s not just restoring forests—it’s planting its flag in the climate game.

💬 R$ 258 million, 3.7 Mt CO₂e, and a 40-year concession—can Pará’s reforestation moonshot deliver real, verifiable impact?

👉👉 Read the full announcement via Agencia Pará

Big Green Boost: Boreal Forest Reclamation Gets a $1.5M Lifeline

Oil sands meet seedlings in the latest partnership to reclaim Canada’s boreal beauty. ConocoPhillips Canada is backing a decade of dirt-under-the-fingernails research with a $1.5-million investment into forest reclamation science, helmed by NAIT’s own Dr. Amanda Schoonmaker.

The cherry on top? NAIT’s Centre for Boreal Research greenhouse in Peace River now bears the name ConocoPhillips Canada Greenhouse. Because what better way to say "thanks for the photosynthesis funding" than immortalizing your donor in chlorophyll-filled glass?

💬 The big question: Can long-term, private-sector-backed research accelerate breakthroughs in boreal restoration science—and what scalable, climate-resilient practices could it unlock?

👉👉 Read more via TechLife Today at NAIT

Mapping the Roadblocks to Natural Climate Solutions

Despite all the buzz around nature-based climate solutions (NCS)—think reforestation, agroforestry, or wetland restoration—the path from potential to performance is paved with… constraints. A sweeping new study published in PNAS Nexus maps the global terrain of what’s actually preventing these projects from delivering the climate mitigation they're hyped to achieve. After combing through more than 1,800 academic papers and charting over 2,400 constraints across 135 countries, researchers found that the biggest blockers aren’t biophysical—they’re bureaucratic and behavioral. Top culprits? Lack of funding, weak policies, and a classic hit: “we don’t know how to do this.” The study’s sobering insight: it’s not just about where trees could grow—it’s about where systems will let them thrive.

💬 As climate finance grows and targets tighten, how should policymakers re-prioritize implementation strategies in light of these nonbiophysical bottlenecks?

👉 Read the full article in PNAS Nexus

Meet the Top 15 Forest Management Investors in the U.S.

Sustainable forestry isn't just hugging trees anymore—it's high-stakes investing, and a curious mix of public giants, scrappy VCs, and billionaires' checkbooks are shaping the U.S. landscape (literally). From the U.S. Department of Energy flinging federal grants like eco-confetti to Y Combinator backing carbon-credit startups with Silicon Valley flair, the forest management sector has officially gone mainstream. And with 2024 already showing hundreds of deals, it's safe to say this isn't your grandpa's lumber business anymore.

💬 With big names like Bezos Earth Fund and KKR joining the fray, are we seeing a green gold rush—or a more permanent shift in how capital flows into natural climate solutions?

👉 Read the full list via Inven

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Edited by Chris Harris